22 Sept · 01:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1449
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Baron
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1354
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Baron goes over total as favourite 64% (75)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H19-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-5)