22 Sept · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1506
FormWLWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Michalik
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1350
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H52-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-23)