22 Sept · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1553
FormLWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Szostok
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1354
FormLLWWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H27-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-8)