22 Sept · 00:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1405
FormLLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Cyndera
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Machelski🌟Cyndera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (28)
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H27-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-14)