22 Sept · 00:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1449
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1540
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H84-85
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)