22 Sept · 00:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1351
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1369
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
🌟Kowalczyk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (41)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.