22 Sept · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1690
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Strowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1753
FormWWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 71% (133)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)