22 Sept · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1345
FormLWWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1527
FormWWWLL
31%
69%
🌟Sulkowski stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)