22 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1690
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Klos
PK
🇵🇱Patrik Klos
ELO 1746
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Klos
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)