22 Sept · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1643
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Sobel
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1476
FormWWWWL
68%
32%
🌟Stapor rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (40)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)