22 Sept · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1323
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1373
FormWLLLL
44%
56%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H57-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-52)