22 Sept · 07:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1549
FormLLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Strowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1753
FormWWLLL
29%
71%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 71% (133)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+204
H2H26-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-19)