22 Sept · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1476
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1527
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
🌟Sulkowski stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)