22 Sept · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1206
FormWLWWL
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1584
FormLWLWL
16%
84%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~72 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+378
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+378)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)