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22 Sep · 04:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1643
3-2Final setsSobel won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1323
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 80%. The actual result was Artur Sobel 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Artur Sobel — profile →Bartlomiej Wisniewski — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Sobel favoured — closing 1.09
Favourite won
Set handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Sobel −10.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Sobel is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Artur Sobelpre 80% → final 99%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts72 points · 5 games