22 Sept · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1323
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1476
FormWWWWL
34%
66%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (38)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H30-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-10)