22 Sept · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1206
FormWLWWL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Kaczmarek
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1487
FormWLWLW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+281
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+281)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)