22 Sept · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1263
FormWLWLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kaczmarek
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1479
FormWLLWL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+216
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)