22 Sept · 10:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1630
FormWLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sobel
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1523
FormWWLWW
62%
38%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 68% (50)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H16-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-9)