22 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1750
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klos
PK
🇵🇱Patrik Klos
ELO 1757
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Klos
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.