22 Sept · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1475
FormLWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1584
FormLWWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H18-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-6)