22 Sept · 10:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1514
FormWWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Stapor
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1350
FormLLLWL
67%
33%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H23-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-15)