22 Sep · 17:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1471
2-3Final setsKurek won
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1500
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 62%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.75
Total 74.5
94 points played
Set handicap
Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rafal Gajda −1.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.
▲ Rafal Gajdapre 66% → final 26%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsKurek recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games