22 Sept · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1471
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kaczynski
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1538
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kaczynski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)