22 Sept · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1330
FormLLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1418
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 80% (15)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)