23 Sept · 02:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1453
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Delikatny
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1404
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Brunner stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Delikatny
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H20-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-11)