23 Sept · 02:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1587
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tkocz
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1504
FormWWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)