23 Sept · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1514
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Michalik
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1449
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
🌟Delikatny covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H16-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)