Rafal Skotniczny vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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23 Sep · 07:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny

ELO 1596

3-1Final setsSkotniczny won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1445

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 65%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Skotniczny — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.52

Favourite won

Total 78.5

76 points played

Under

Set handicap

Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Rafal Skotniczny −3.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 70% → final 83%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 35 pts72 points · 4 games