23 Sept · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1571
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zochniak
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1522
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)