Rafal Gajda vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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23 Sep · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1490

3-2Final setsGajda won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1439

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 51%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Gajda — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 79.5

85 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.45

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 55% → final 98%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 57 ptsGajda recovered from 41%72 points · 5 games