23 Sept · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1274
FormLLLLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1490
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+216
H2H30-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-13)