23 Sept · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1309
FormLLWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1508
FormLWLWW
29%
71%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (38)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)