Boguslaw Madej vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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23 Sep · 16:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej

ELO 1347

3-2Final setsMadej won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1430

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 60%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-2 — the underdog won.

Boguslaw Madej — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.42

Upset

Total 78.5

105 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 43% → final 21%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 57 ptsBaron recovered from 34%72 points · 5 games