23 Sept · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1354
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krukar
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1401
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Kowalczyk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (41)
Fair odds · Krukar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)