23 Sept · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1710
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkaczyk
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1588
FormLWLWW
63%
37%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 65% (94)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H25-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-15)