Henryk Tkaczyk vs Kacper Kwiatkowski — TT Elite Series

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23 Sep · 20:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk

ELO 1695

2-3Final setsKwiatkowski won

🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski

ELO 1446

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 76%. The actual result was Kacper Kwiatkowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

Henryk Tkaczyk — profile →Kacper Kwiatkowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.35

Upset

Total 72.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Kacper Kwiatkowski.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 75% → final 29%

Kacper Kwiatkowski ▼

Biggest swing 65 ptsKwiatkowski recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games