23 Sept · 23:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1429
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Glanowski
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1416
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 63% (27)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.