Dawid Poloszczanski vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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23 Sep · 22:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski

ELO 1428

3-2Final setsPoloszczanski won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1370

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 56%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Dawid Poloszczanski — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.65

Favourite won

Set handicap

Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Dawid Poloszczanski −2.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 53% → final 12%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 68 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 26%70 points · 4 games