24 Sept · 00:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1440
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1466
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.