24 Sept · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1604
FormLLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Skotniczny
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1451
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sokolowski🌟Sokolowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (118)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)