Marian Lebek vs Rafal Skotniczny — TT Elite Series

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24 Sep · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1547

2-3Final setsSkotniczny won

🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny

ELO 1610

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 54%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Marian Lebek — profile →Rafal Skotniczny — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.75

Favourite won

Total 73.5

98 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 42% → final 61%

Rafal Skotniczny ▼

Biggest swing 61 ptsLebek recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games