24 Sept · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1765
FormWWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Guzik
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1592
FormLLWWL
68%
32%
🌟Fomin covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)