Bartlomiej Mrugala vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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24 Sep · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1342

3-0Final setsMrugala won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1348

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-0 — the underdog won.

Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 74.5

58 points played

Under

Set handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

8.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 51% → final 98%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 56 ptsMrugala recovered from 43%57 points · 3 games