24 Sept · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1406
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1421
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 63% (27)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.