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24 Sep · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1521
1-3Final setsTkocz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 53%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 73.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 57% → final 25%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 48 ptsTkocz recovered from 27%64 points · 4 games