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24 Sep · 18:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1340
3-0Final setsSkorski won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1372
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 55%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 41% → final 94%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSkorski recovered from 34%57 points · 3 games