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24 Sep · 18:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1438
3-0Final setsJurowicz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 68%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 72.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
13.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 34% → final 91%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsJurowicz recovered from 27%56 points · 3 games