24 Sept · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1763
FormLWWWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Molenda
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1480
FormLLLWL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+283
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+283)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)