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24 Sep · 20:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1440
3-2Final setsJurowicz won
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1459
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 56%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Adamus favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Adamus −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Adamus.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 40% → final 95%
Mariusz Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsJurowicz recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games